Horse Racing, Santa Anna Park, 10/21/11

Post Time 1 p.m.

Race 1 – 5 1/2 furlongs, Purse $25,000, Maiden claiming $40,000, 3-year-olds and up

5 Lord Vronsky – First-time gelding from the Mike Mitchell barn; big class drop from MSW to maiden claiming $40K.

3 Indian Knight – First-time gelding from the Bob Baffert barn; been working bullets since the ultimate equipment change.

Long Shot – 6 Sentry Duty

Race 2 – 1 mile, Purse $55,000, Allowance, 3-year-olds and up

3 Shediak – Closer in a small field jam packed with early speed; can the longest shot in the field pull the upset?

4 Indian Firewater – Bob Baffert has an uncoupled entry; this is the higher odds horse, how often do we see that happen.

Long Shot – 2 Atta Boy Roy

Race 3 – 5 1/2 furlongs, Purse $17,000, Claiming $10,000, 3-year-olds

3 Liberal Arts – Was overmatched in last running for $40K; Doug O’Neill drops to the bottom in search of victory.

2 Edgewick Road – Dead-late closer got up in the final stride in last; could be hurt by the shorter distance today.

Long Shot – 1 Stu’s Gone Wild

Race 4 – 1 mile, Purse $15,000, Claiming $8,000, 3-year-olds and up

4 Man Chester Man – Sliding down the claiming ladder to the bottom rung; his resume on dirt is a lot better.

10 Dunscombe – Mike Chambers is a high-percentage trainer who must always be respected; like that he hires Rafael Bejarano.

Long Shot – 7 Capt. Sparrow

Race 5 – 6 furlongs, Purse $33,000, Claiming $40,000, Fillies, 3-year-olds

7 Melissa Rose – Another Mike Mitchell well spotted to win; flexible enough to win on the lead or come from behind.

3 Queenie Marini – Bob Baffert charge is capable of better than last; Martin Garcia knows how to ride this filly.

Long Shot – 5 Judicious

Race 6 – 5 1/2 furlongs, Purse $17,000, Claiming $10,000, 3-year-olds

4 Sir Ed – Just missed in last and comes back in 19 days; subtle class drop can make all the difference tonight.

6 Lime Rock Revenge – Moribund try in last after a sharp win two back; if he runs that race he can upset these.

Long Shot – 2 Ominous Thomas

Race 7 – 1 1/4 miles (turf, rail at 30 feet), Purse $48,000, Optional claiming $40,000, Fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up

4 Malusita – Vote of Joel Rosario means a lot; he had options and chose to ride for Sal Gonzalez.

8 Ela Gorrie Mou – David Flores replaces Joel Rosario here; Darrell Vienna taking the blinkers off for this.

Long Shot – 3 Capital Plan

Race 8 – 6 furlongs, Purse $22,000, Maiden claiming $30,000, 2-year-olds

8 Yes It’s Snowing – Vann Belvoir barn is white-hot right now; first time SoCal, Emerald Downs colt gets Joel Rosario.

7 D’Wildbunch – Ran a much-improved race in last; had a wide trip throughout, figures to carve a better trip.

Long Shot – 11 Ride Captain

Best Bet – 5 Lord Vronsky (race 1)

Santa Anita Thursday – Picks/Winners/Mutuels, 15/2/$7.40; Long Shots, 7/1/$8.60; Best Bet, 1/1/$3.60

Santa Anita Totals – 221/62/$388.00; Long Shots, 114/17/$178.00; Best Bets, 13/7/$34.60

SIMULCAST PLAY OF THE DAY – #2 Crested (5/2) in race 1 at Keeneland. For scoring purposes, we’ll make a hypothetical $2 win, place and show bet, $6 total. On Thursday, Hammers Terror won at Keeneland paying $2.80 to win, $2.20 to place and $2.20 to show. Stats – 162/106/$829.50; follow him on Twitter: @richeng4propick